Asset Summary
Weekly Performance Report for SMN ETF: Week 51, 2024
Summary: The Weekly started with SMN ETF opening at $15.17 and closing at $16.48. The ETF showed resilience throughout the Weekly, with the highest price observed at $17.02 and the lowest at $15.17. The underlying asset had a trading range of $1.85 Overall, it was a positive trading Weekly for SMN ETF, reflecting investor optimism and market activity.
Change in Closing Price: There was a net increase of $1.31 or 8.64% in the closing price from the opening to the closing price over the Weekly.
Volume Analysis: Trading volume for SMN ETF was 10,484 units during Week 51, indicating active market participation and investor interest.
Opening Price: The Weekly started at $15.17.
Highest Price: The highest price observed during the Weekly was $17.02.
Lowest Price: The lowest price observed during the Weekly was $15.17.
Closing Price: The Weekly ended at $16.48.
Asset Performance Metrics and Risk Characteristics:
Understanding asset performance is crucial for evaluating investment quality and making informed decisions. Metrics like trailing return and drawdown provide insights into how an asset has performed over time, its volatility, and the efficiency of its returns relative to risk. Performance indicators help assess the stability, risk, and reward of an investment, allowing investors and portfolio managers to make comparisons and strategize accordingly.
1 Month Trailing Return
20.03%
Represents the percentage change in asset value over the past month.
3 Month Trailing Return
144.15%
Indicates the percentage change in asset value over the last three months.
Period Max Drawdown
31.37%
The highest percentage drop from the peak value to the lowest point during the observed period.
Standard Deviation
104.60%
Shows how much the asset’s daily returns deviate from the average, annualized for the entire period.
Sharpe Ratio
1.02
Measures the average return earned in excess of the risk-free rate per unit of volatility, annualized.
Calmar Ratio
3.41
The ratio of the annualized return to the maximum drawdown, reflecting the return per unit of risk.
Asset Technical Analysis
Technical analysis involves evaluating an asset's price and volume data to forecast future movements and make informed trading decisions. By using various technical indicators and chart patterns, investors can gain insights into market trends, price momentum, and potential turning points. This section delves into essential technical metrics, including moving averages, pivot points, and other indicators that provide a snapshot of an asset's current technical stance. Analyzing these indicators helps investors identify entry and exit points, assess market sentiment, and refine their trading strategies. Explore the following technical analysis data to understand the asset's performance dynamics and make better-informed decisions.
Moving Averages
Moving Averages are commonly used to smooth out price data and identify trends over a specific period. Here’s a summary of the latest moving averages for various periods:
| Type/Period | |
|---|---|
| SMA | |
| EMA | |
| WMA | |
| WEMA |
- SMA (Simple Moving Average): Reflects the average price over a specific number of periods.
- EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to new information.
- WMA (Weighted Moving Average): Assigns a weight to each price, emphasizing more recent prices.
- WEMA (Weighted Exponential Moving Average): Combines elements of both WMA and EMA for a more responsive moving average.
Pivot Support and Resistance Levels
Pivot Points are used to determine potential support and resistance levels. Here’s a breakdown of the latest Pivot Points for various methods:
| Type | S3 | S2 | S1 | PIVOT | R1 | R2 | R3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
- Classic Pivot Points: Derived from the high, low, and close of the previous period to predict support and resistance.
- Fibonacci Pivot Points: Uses Fibonacci levels to calculate support and resistance.
- Camarilla Pivot Points: Uses a different formula to calculate levels based on the previous period’s high, low, and close.
- Floor Pivot Points: Based on the floor theory, with adjustments for support and resistance levels.
- Woodies Pivot Points: Uses a formula incorporating the previous period's open price.
- DeMark Pivot Points: Employs DeMark's method which varies depending on the closing price relative to the opening price.
Technical Indicators
Technical Indicators are tools used to analyze market trends and make predictions. Here’s a summary of some key indicators:
| Indicator | Value | Details |
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
- ADL (Accumulation/Distribution Line): Measures the cumulative flow of money into and out of a security.
- ForceIndex: Combines price and volume to gauge the power of price movements.
- MFI (Money Flow Index): Indicates the direction of money flow into and out of a security.
- OBV (On-Balance Volume): Uses volume flow to predict changes in stock price.
- VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): Shows the average price a security has traded at throughout the day, based on volume and price.
- VolumeProfile: Analyzes trading volume at different price levels over a specific period.
- ADX (Average Directional Index): Measures the strength of a trend.
- ATR (Average True Range): Reflects market volatility by measuring the average range of price movement.
- Ichimoku Cloud: Provides information about support and resistance levels, trend direction, and momentum.
- KST (Know Sure Thing): A momentum indicator that combines four different momentum measurements.
- PSAR (Parabolic SAR): Indicates potential reversals in the market.
- ROC (Rate of Change): Measures the percentage change in price over a specific period.
- Stochastic: Measures the level of the closing price relative to the high-low range over a period.
- StochasticRSI: Combines RSI with Stochastic Oscillator to gauge the RSI level’s relative position.
- TRIX: Shows the percentage change in a triple-smoothed moving average.
- WilliamR: Indicates overbought and oversold conditions.
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security's price.
- AO (Awesome Oscillator): Measures market momentum by comparing a 34-period and a 5-period simple moving average.
- CCI (Commodity Channel Index): Measures the deviation of the price from its average over a period.
- RSI (Relative Strength Index): Indicates overbought or oversold conditions by comparing recent gains and losses.
- BB (Bollinger Bands): Indicates volatility and potential overbought or oversold conditions based on price bands.
- Keltner Channels: Similar to Bollinger Bands but uses average true range for bands.
Candlestick Patterns Analysis
Candlestick patterns are crucial in technical analysis, providing visual insights into market sentiment and potential price movements. This section analyzes various candlestick patterns over a specified range of recent candles to identify any significant formations that might indicate future market trends. Each pattern is evaluated based on the latest candle data to determine if it matches known patterns of bullish or bearish signals.
Scanned Candlestick Patterns
The tool utilizes real-time price data to scan for these patterns, displaying results with timestamps to help understand the context of each detected pattern.
Patterns Detected
| Timestamp | Pattern | Found |
|---|---|---|
Detectable Candlestick Patterns
| Pattern | Support |
|---|---|
Historical Prices
This section provides a detailed overview of historical price data for the selected asset. The table below captures key metrics such as open, high, low, and close prices as well as volume and vwap for each trading period. Analyzing historical prices helps in understanding past market trends and volatility, enabling better-informed decisions for future trading strategies.
| Timestamp | Open | High | Low | Close | Volume | VWAP | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/20/2024 08:00 PM | 16.55 | 16.55 | 16.44 | 16.55 | 1,314 | 16.48 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/20/2024 03:00 PM | 16.81 | 16.81 | 16.56 | 16.56 | 508 | 16.69 | -0.25 -1.49% |
| 12/19/2024 08:00 PM | 16.80 | 16.80 | 16.80 | 16.80 | 600 | 16.80 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/19/2024 07:00 PM | 16.67 | 16.67 | 16.67 | 16.67 | 599 | 16.67 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/19/2024 06:00 PM | 16.76 | 16.76 | 16.76 | 16.76 | 359 | 16.76 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/19/2024 05:00 PM | 16.75 | 16.75 | 16.75 | 16.75 | 420 | 16.75 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/19/2024 04:00 PM | 16.70 | 16.70 | 16.63 | 16.63 | 232 | 16.67 | -0.07 -0.42% |
| 12/19/2024 03:00 PM | 16.63 | 16.63 | 16.63 | 16.63 | 192 | 16.63 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/17/2024 08:00 PM | 15.56 | 15.56 | 15.56 | 15.56 | 378 | 15.56 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/17/2024 03:00 PM | 15.56 | 15.56 | 15.52 | 15.53 | 471 | 15.54 | -0.03 -0.19% |
| 12/16/2024 06:00 PM | 15.30 | 15.30 | 15.30 | 15.30 | 810 | 15.30 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/16/2024 03:00 PM | 15.17 | 15.17 | 15.17 | 15.17 | 150 | 15.17 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/13/2024 08:00 PM | 15.22 | 15.22 | 15.22 | 15.22 | 222 | 15.22 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/13/2024 04:00 PM | 15.16 | 15.16 | 15.16 | 15.16 | 975 | 15.16 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/12/2024 08:00 PM | 14.83 | 14.83 | 14.83 | 14.83 | 200 | 14.83 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/11/2024 08:00 PM | 14.66 | 14.66 | 14.64 | 14.66 | 1,292 | 14.65 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/11/2024 07:00 PM | 14.62 | 14.62 | 14.62 | 14.62 | 128 | 14.62 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/10/2024 08:00 PM | 14.44 | 14.60 | 14.44 | 14.60 | 702 | 14.50 | +0.16 +1.11% |
| 12/10/2024 07:00 PM | 14.48 | 14.48 | 14.41 | 14.42 | 839 | 14.43 | -0.06 -0.41% |
| 12/10/2024 06:00 PM | 14.52 | 14.52 | 14.52 | 14.52 | 100 | 14.52 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/10/2024 05:00 PM | 14.48 | 14.48 | 14.48 | 14.48 | 137 | 14.48 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/10/2024 04:00 PM | 14.55 | 14.55 | 14.55 | 14.55 | 137 | 14.55 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/09/2024 08:00 PM | 14.25 | 14.27 | 14.25 | 14.27 | 2,051 | 14.26 | +0.02 +0.14% |
| 12/09/2024 07:00 PM | 14.23 | 14.23 | 14.23 | 14.23 | 200 | 14.23 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/09/2024 06:00 PM | 14.13 | 14.13 | 14.13 | 14.13 | 200 | 14.13 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/06/2024 08:00 PM | 14.28 | 14.28 | 14.28 | 14.28 | 1,570 | 14.28 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/06/2024 07:00 PM | 14.29 | 14.29 | 14.29 | 14.29 | 200 | 14.29 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/05/2024 05:00 PM | 14.19 | 14.19 | 14.17 | 14.17 | 559 | 14.19 | -0.02 -0.14% |
| 12/04/2024 06:00 PM | 13.80 | 13.80 | 13.80 | 13.80 | 900 | 13.80 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/04/2024 05:00 PM | 13.73 | 13.73 | 13.73 | 13.73 | 350 | 13.73 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/04/2024 03:00 PM | 13.84 | 13.84 | 13.84 | 13.84 | 600 | 13.84 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/02/2024 08:00 PM | 13.43 | 13.43 | 13.43 | 13.43 | 800 | 13.43 | 0.00 0.00% |
| 12/02/2024 07:00 PM | 13.55 | 13.56 | 13.55 | 13.56 | 1,500 | 13.56 | +0.01 +0.07% |
| 12/02/2024 05:00 PM | 13.60 | 13.61 | 13.60 | 13.61 | 317 | 13.60 | +0.01 +0.07% |
| 11/29/2024 05:00 PM | 13.41 | 13.41 | 13.40 | 13.41 | 633 | 13.41 | 0.00 0.00% |
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Maximize Results NowFrequently Asked Questions
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Risks include high volatility, leverage risk, and compounding effects. Due to its use of leverage and derivatives, SMN may experience amplified losses as well as gains. It is designed for short-term trading and may not perform as expected over longer periods.
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Historical performance includes data on past returns, both positive and negative, based on the fund’s objective to deliver -2x the daily performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Basic Materials Index. Historical performance should be reviewed with the understanding that past results do not guarantee future performance.
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SMN's performance is compared to other leveraged inverse ETFs that target different sectors or indices. Its performance may differ from similar funds based on the underlying index and the level of leverage used. It is important to compare SMN with other funds that use similar strategies and focus on the basic materials sector.
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Similar ETFs include: SRS (ProShares UltraShort Real Estate): Provides -2x the daily performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index. SH (ProShares Short S&P 500): Provides -1x the daily performance of the S&P 500 Index. SQQQ (ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ): Provides -3x the daily performance of the NASDAQ-100 Index.
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SMN generally does not distribute dividends. As an inverse leveraged ETF, its primary focus is on achieving its daily performance objectives rather than providing income through dividends.
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Key performance metrics include the fund's daily return relative to its target (which is -2x the performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Basic Materials Index), tracking error, and volatility. Performance is typically evaluated on a daily basis, and long-term performance may differ due to the effects of compounding.
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In market downturns, SMN is designed to gain value when the Dow Jones U.S. Basic Materials Index falls. Due to its leveraged inverse strategy, it aims to provide amplified returns in the opposite direction of the index. However, its performance can be volatile and may not always align perfectly with the inverse multiple of the index's daily return.
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Factors include changes in the underlying Dow Jones U.S. Basic Materials Index, market volatility, interest rates, and the performance of the leveraged instruments used in the fund. The fund’s performance is also influenced by the daily rebalancing of leverage.
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SMN is managed by ProShares. The fund uses financial instruments such as futures contracts, swaps, and other derivatives to achieve its leveraged inverse exposure. The fund aims to achieve its performance objective on a daily basis, which means it is designed for short-term trading and may not be suitable for long-term investors.
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While technically possible, SMN is generally not recommended for retirement accounts due to its high volatility and leverage. It is more suited for short-term trading rather than long-term investing.
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